Research Article
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Article title
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Abstract
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Keywords
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1. Introduction
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2. Literature review
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3. Data adjustments
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3.1. Building a representative sample from the empirical data
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3.2. Adjustment of ratings to the base scale
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4. Construction of empirical models of PD and credit ratings
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4.1. Credit ratings and PD models
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4.2. Interpretation of financial factors of influence on credit risk of a bank
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4.3. Principal component analysis
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5. Construction of synergic models
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5.1. Calibration of rating scale and probability of default
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5.2. Comparison of distributions of forecast errors of PD and ratings model
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5.3. Construction of synergic models
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5.3.1. Out-of-sample check of the synergic model
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6. Conclusion
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References
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Appendix. Ratings’ comparison scale
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