DOI: 10.32609/j.ruje.11.128519

Authors: Bhagirath Baria, Ria Kusumaningrum, Anggita Suryana, Devanshi Mehta

Abstract: This paper addresses a significant gap in the existing literature on financial inclusion — namely, the dynamic instability of the impacts generated by its determinants in four major emerging market economies: Brazil, Russia, India, and China. A time-varying coefficients framework is applied to examine whether the factors shaping financial inclusion at the aggregate level produce nonlinear effects over time. The analysis covers the period from 2000–2001 to 2022–2023. A composite financial inclusion index is constructed to capture inclusion across three key dimensions — availability, access, and usage — using the distance function approach. Three classes of determinants are modeled: socio-demographic, infrastructural, and macroeconomic variables. Evidence indicates structural instability in the financial inclusion process for the BRIC economies, with several determinants exerting nonlinear impacts over time. The findings challenge the conventional assumption of time-invariant relationships between financial inclusion and its dominant determinants. The results reveal considerable temporal volatility in the effects of macroeconomic factors, including growth and inflation, on financial inclusion across emerging markets. Policymakers should adjust strategies, moving beyond assumptions of linear processes and managing dynamic, nonlinear factors more effectively to achieve universal financial inclusion.

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DOI: 10.32609/j.ruje.11.85599

Authors: Stanislav A. Rogachev, Yuri R. Ichkitidze

Abstract: We pioneer the estimation of technological progress parameters for Russia in the framework of the neoclassical theory. Implementing the CES production function (CES PF hereafter) as an instrument of output description, we construct a system of cointegrated time series which guarantee no spurious interpretations. Our analysis follows a logical transition from an aggregate to a sectoral level and is based on two convergent datasets of different length. For the aggregate economy most of our accepted models generally forecast a slight labor income share increase under capital-augmenting technical progress biased to labor. Selected models with structural break in 2008–2009 show below-unity elasticity of substitution between labor and capital. Sectoral estimates stand in support of labor income share (LS) growth across six of the eight analyzed economic sectors. We empirically illustrate the rule for LS direction in response to joint values of labor-to-capital elasticity of substitution and a combination of the relative factor intensity and the average growth rate of labor-to-capital ratio. The fact that the values of relative labor intensity in the Mining and Energy & Waste management sectors are less than the growth of labor-to-capital ratio provide no grounds for labor share rise. While our reduced-form evidence suggests that broad capital tax relaxations in these two sectors are unlikely to raise LS, this should be read as a hypothesis for future causal work rather than a policy prescription.

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DOI: 10.32609/j.ruje.9.101612

Authors: Duc Huu Nguyen, Irina P. Khominich

Abstract: The study presents a Green Economy Index that evaluates the quality of green economies in the BRICS countries based on three pillars: environment, economic performance, and quality of green living. Research findings suggest that the BRICS nations are gradually shifting their focus from mere economic growth to encompassing environmental, social welfare, and equality concerns. Russia showcased the best balance among these three pillars from 2011 to 2020, while India and China made notable strides. Nevertheless, Brazil and South Africa face obstacles in improving their economies and increasing social welfare. The indicators highlight specific challenges each country must address, including high unemployment in Brazil and South Africa, low energy intensity in Russia and China, and air pollution and low Human Development Index in India, alongside shared issues like low government transparency. Based on the research significant findings, the study attempts to address whether the BRICS nations should prioritize financing environmental protection, economic growth, or social goals to maintain a balance among all the three pillars and achieve their green economy objectives.

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