Research Article |
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Corresponding author: Carlos M. Jardon ( cjardon@uvigo.es ) © 2023 Non-profit partnership “Voprosy Ekonomiki”.
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), which permits to copy and distribute the article for non-commercial purposes, provided that the article is not altered or modified and the original author and source are credited.
Citation:
Jardon CM, Martinez Cobas X (2023) Emerging economies and investment in intellectual capital in crisis time: The case of Russia. Russian Journal of Economics 9(1): 57-70. https://doi.org/10.32609/j.ruje.9.81283
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Emerging economies have specific characteristics that condition the use of intellectual capital. The economic crisis has had important consequences for emerging countries. The investments in intellectual capital could slow down this influence. This paper uses a new model for assessing the effects of an investment in intellectual capital on the performance of Russian companies in a period of crisis. The model is applied in Russian companies with data from 1,096 companies for the period 2004–2014 and 12,056 observations were made. The panel data included only active companies (from January 2004) listed with annual reports and were obtained from Bureau Van Dijk’s Ruslana database. Each company’s data cover at least seven years. The study used hierarchical linear models to unravel the effect of intellectual capital on value-added. The results show that investments in structural capital and relational capital have a direct effect on the stock of intellectual capital and generates value. The results show that investments in structural capital and relational capital have a direct effect on the stock of intellectual capital and generates value.
intellectual capital, Russia, measurement models, financial data, crisis.
Economic crises tend to have a greater effect on emerging economies. The business environment in these countries is volatile, risky, and uncertain (
Several scholars have studied the effect of intellectual capital on the performance of Russian companies (
The economic crisis produced noticeable effects on the functioning of the Russian economy.
This study contributes to the management of aspects of intellectual capital in situations of risk in emerging economies (the Russian context during crisis). In particular, the paper analyses the possible incidence trajectories of investments in different components of intellectual capital on performance (Jardon and Martos, 2012), and the crisis effect.
As a result, this research reconciles the use of financial measures for the management of intellectual capital, and its antecedents in triangulated indices. Also, it determines relationships through path coefficients, between constructs developed from a general conceptual model, based on the academic and professional literature. In addition, it assesses the relative position of the participating organizations, so that intellectual capital resources can be reallocated more effectively, and establishes a basis for online trends, standards, and intellectual capital forecasts using Russian companies’ financial data recorded during the crisis period. It thus complements previous studies of emerging economies.
Unlike previous papers, this one contributes to two aspects:
1. Theoretically, it suggests issues of intellectual capital suitable for increasing performance in emerging markets during an economic crisis. The COVID-19 pandemic has generated a crisis in all economies, affecting the Russian economy (
2. Methodologically, it allows studying the impact of investment in each component of intellectual capital, on the stock of intellectual capital, which previous studies (
The sample used contains annual data from 1,096 Russian companies for the period 2004–2014. The panel data included only active companies (from January 2004) listed with annual reports and were obtained from Bureau Van Dijk’s Ruslana database. Each company’s data cover at least seven years. The distribution components of the following economic sectors were surveyed: (a) construction and real estate; (b) manufacturing; (c) chemical and energy; (d) services; (e) trade and related services; (f) finance and insurance. Manufacturing accounted for 25% of the companies studied. Data only up to 2014 was used to highlight the crisis effect since in that year the crisis had ended but sanctions were imposed on it for annexing Crimea thereby causing a mixed effect which this study does not intend to include. Missing data were estimated using the multiple imputation method of STATA 14.0.
As an intangible, intellectual capital needs to be clearly defined to be measured. Previous literature has presented multiple methods of evaluating this (
Intangible assets must be identifiable, but they are neither monetary nor physical. In addition, they must meet the definition of an asset, i.e., they are manageable (or they can be managed), and they can bring economic benefits. They are an indicator of the stock of intellectual capital, but accounting restrictions condition their content (Fernández and Aparicio, 2013). However, a certain proportionality was assumed between what was and what was not an identifiable intangible asset as an indicator of the stock of intellectual capital.
Finally, value added was measured by revenue minus current costs and indicated the value created by investments in intellectual capital (
Linear effects equations with random parameters:
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Random effects equation:
β 0i = γ0i + u0i; var (u0i) = σi2, i = 1, ..., 4. (5)
The study used hierarchical linear models (HLM) as the most appropriate method to determine the effect of intellectual capital on value-added, after considering the industry and considering the nested nature of the data. It helps to evaluate the effects due to factors associated with the industry from the specific effects of the variable. Consequently, all the control variables associated with the industry are included in this random effect. We include an indicator variable to measure crisis and interaction variables in the models to analyze the crisis effect, from 2009 to 2011. Therefore, the research controls the effect of the industry. Hierarchical linear modeling allows more precise relations between different levels and supports complex structures for residual terms (
The economic crises have had adverse effects on all economies, limiting the performance of companies. This has also affected the emerging economies, including the Russian one (
Intellectual capital is a construct that includes intangible assets that create value for a company. Traditionally, intellectual capital is divided into three categories: human, structural (i.e., organizational), and relational (i.e., the customer) (
Human capital refers to the set of values, attitudes, skills, and abilities of employees that can generate value for a company (
Structural capital is “knowledge that internalizes company (generating value for it) and remains in the organization even when their employees leave their homes at night” (
Relational capital is the value of business relationships to the company (
Russia’s unstable business environment (
Another cause of instability is the sharp business cycle of the Russian economy.
Many authors have studied the effect of intellectual capital on performance in Russian companies (
H1: Stock of intellectual capital increases a company’s value in the Russian context during a crisis.
H1a: The crisis can condition this effect.
Investment in different components of intellectual capital usually increases the stock of intellectual capital. Generally, the peculiarities of Russian companies suggest that not all investments in intellectual capital components directly generates intellectual capital.
Human capital in Russian companies presents specific characteristics (
Managers in Russia generally have cognitive rigidity (
Leadership in Russian companies is different from other countries. For example, Kets
However, strategic orientation towards innovation is low, as insufficient levels of investment in innovation indicate a lack of confidence in the business environment, a lack of management experience, or even the belief that competitive products often do not guarantee sales (
H2a: Investment in human capital can predetermine structural capital investments in the Russian context, during a crisis.
The economic crisis in Russia results in a decrease of investments (
H2b: The crisis defines the effect of human capital investments on structural capital investments.
Human capital is the bedrock of the generation of relationships (Jardon, 2015), so it helps to increase relational capital. This is particularly important in times of crisis where relational capital becomes more important in the Russian economy, where informal networks are especially needed (
H2c: Investment in human capital increases relational capital investment in the Russian context during a crisis.
H2d: The crisis determines the effect of human capital investments on relational capital investments.
Culture is very important in the business environment of Russian companies (
Innovation is an essential performance factor in crises. Indeed, Russian companies faced different innovation-oriented strategic developments to cope with the crisis (
H3a: Investment in innovation increases a company’s intellectual capital in the Russian context during a crisis.
H3b: The crisis increases the effect of investments on innovation on intellectual capital stock.
On the other hand, social networks are important business opportunities for Russian companies. People whose relatives or friends are entrepreneurs are more likely to become entrepreneurs themselves, and these relationships help to expand the domestic and international market potential of their companies. There are several similarities between Russian and Chinese entrepreneurs, in that they both use these networks according to their content capital (
H4a: Investments in relational capital to increase a company’s intellectual capital in the Russian context.
H4b: The crisis increases the importance of investments in relational capital to generate a stock of intellectual capital.
Fig.
Table
| Variables | Sector | ||||||
| Building | Manufacturing | Energy and chemical | Services | Commerce | Finance | ||
| Tot.Assets | |||||||
| Mean | 162 | 276 | 2,695 | 545 | 349 | 2,009 | |
| Std. deviation | 507 | 1,335 | 17,389 | 3,456 | 2,520 | 7,444 | |
| Value Added / Tot.Assets | |||||||
| Mean | –0.11 | –0.18 | –0.98 | –0.10 | –1.89 | 0.26 | |
| Std. deviation | 0.91 | 0.89 | 3.06 | 0.80 | 2.23 | 1.51 | |
| Pers.Costs / Tot.Assets | |||||||
| Mean | 6.23 | 0.83 | 0.65 | 2.10 | 1.34 | 15.75 | |
| Std. deviation | 88.21 | 13.05 | 6.56 | 20.41 | 7.25 | 119.50 | |
| Advert.Costs / Tot.Assets | |||||||
| Mean | 3.41 | 0.53 | 0.41 | 1.52 | 10.61 | 12.95 | |
| Std. deviation | 27.24 | 3.15 | 2.62 | 7.68 | 181.48 | 62.64 | |
| R&D.Costs / Tot.Assets | |||||||
| Mean | 0.57 | 0.10 | 0.09 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 2.03 | |
| Std. deviation | 4.20 | 0.55 | 0.56 | 2.24 | 1.82 | 12.07 | |
| Intang.Assets / Tot.Assets | |||||||
| Mean | 6.26 | –0.18 | 0.68 | 1.56 | 115.78 | 44.74 | |
| Std. deviation | 140.17 | 0.89 | 11.16 | 19.62 | 2,375.71 | 435.97 | |
| Observations | 1,237 | 5,098 | 1,963 | 1,100 | 423 | 99 | |
Table
| Variables | Coef. | Std. err. | z | P > | z | |
| Dep: value added | ||||
| Intangible assets | 0.297 | 0.076 | 3.900 | 0.000 |
| Crisis | 0.044 | 0.142 | 0.310 | 0.759 |
| Interaction with crisis | –0.010 | 0.008 | –1.210 | 0.225 |
| _Const. | 0.557 | 0.056 | 9.940 | 0.000 |
| Random-effects Parameters: IND | Estimate | Std. err. | [95% Conf. interval] | |
| sd(_cons) | 0.136 | 0.040 | 0.076 | 0.243 |
| sd(Residual) | 0.276 | 0.003 | 0.271 | 0.282 |
| LR test vs. linear model: chibar2(01) = 339.67 Prob ≥ chibar2 = 0.0000 | ||||
| Variables | Coef. | Std. err. | z | P > | z | |
| Dep: Intangible assets | ||||
| Advertising expenses | 1.8899 | 0.2615 | 7.2300 | 0.0000 |
| interaction with crisis | 1.8518 | 0.6255 | 2.9600 | 0.0030 |
| R & D expenses | 1.4597 | 0.1459 | 10.0000 | 0.0000 |
| interaction with crisis | –0.3376 | 0.4731 | –0.7100 | 0.4760 |
| Crisis | –0.0009 | 0.0018 | –0.5200 | 0.6020 |
| _Const. | 0.0110 | 0.0038 | 2.9100 | 0.0040 |
| Random-effects Parameters: IND | Estimate | Std. err. | [95% Conf. interval] | |
| sd(_cons) | 0.0085 | 0.0027 | 0.0045 | 0.0159 |
| sd(Residual) | 0.0591 | 0.0006 | 0.0579 | 0.0603 |
| LR test vs. linear model: chibar2(01) = 20.49 Prob ≥ chibar2 = 0.0000 | ||||
| Variables | Coef. | Std. err. | z | P > | z | |
| Dep: R&D expenses | ||||
| Personnel expenses | –0.0023 | 0.0010 | –2.2500 | 0.0240 |
| Interaction with crisis | –0.0001 | 0.0018 | –0.0800 | 0.9340 |
| Crisis | –0.0001 | 0.0002 | –0.3900 | 0.6940 |
| _Const. | 0.0005 | 0.0002 | 2.3800 | 0.0170 |
| Random-effects Parameters: IND | Estimate | Std. err. | [95% Conf. interval] | |
| sd(_cons) | 0.0004 | 0.0002 | 0.0002 | 0.0008 |
| sd(Residual) | 0.2761 | 0.0028 | 0.2708 | 0.2816 |
| LR test vs. linear model: chibar2(01) = 20.49 Prob ≥ chibar2 = 0.0000 | ||||
| Variables | Coef. | Std. err. | z | P > | z | |
| Dep: Advertising expenses | ||||
| Personnel expenses | 0.0001 | 0.0006 | 0.1200 | 0.9010 |
| Interaction with crisis | 0.0029 | 0.0011 | 2.7300 | 0.0060 |
| Crisis | –0.0003 | 0.0001 | –1.9000 | 0.0570 |
| _Const. | 0.0002 | 0.0001 | 2.2200 | 0.0270 |
| Random-effects Parameters: IND | Estimate | Std. err. | [95% Conf. interval] | |
| sd(_cons) | 0.0002 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0005 |
| sd(Residual) | 0.0035 | 0.0000 | 0.0034 | 0.0036 |
| LR test vs. linear model: chibar2(01) = 3.32, Prob ≥ chibar2 = 0.0342 | ||||
The second part of the table shows the effect of investment in intellectual capital components on the generation of intangible assets. The effect of R&D and advertising expenses is similar, increasing by 1,46 and 1,89 for each point of these expenses on total assets. In both cases, the effect is very significant. This result shows the importance of investments in intellectual capital components in increasing the intellectual capital of the company, thus justifying the different investment policies in this asset class. So it confirms the importance of components of intellectual capital in generating value. The crisis does not affect the relationship between structural capital investments and the stock of intellectual capital. However, the crisis increases the effect of relational capital by 1,852 additional.
In addition, the results indicate the validity of the models based on inputs (
Finally, the last section of the table shows the effect of personnel expenditure on R & D costs and advertising expenses. Does investment in human capital improve investment in structural capital and relational capital? The results indicate that only the second of these relationships is significant during crisis time, i.e., an increase in personnel expenses implies an increase in advertising expenses, but not R&D expenses during crisis time. However, the effect of investment in human capital does not makes little difference outside the crisis. This suggests that investment in R&D does not always require a commitment to the acquisition of more highly qualified human resources, which involves increasing these expenses. These investments could be substitutive.
The effect of the industry appears significant in the case of added value. In the other cases, the effect is insignificant, indicating that the behavior is similar in all industries.
This paper assesses the effects of intellectual capital investment on the performance of some Russian companies in periods of crisis by using a new approach of measuring these effects using financial data.
The results show that, in the Russian context, only investment in structural capital and relational capital generates a higher stock of intellectual capital. It was expected that investments in human capital should consequently lead to an increase in investments in structural and relational capital, however, insignificant effects were found. The Russian context highlights the importance of R&D investment as the foundation of intellectual capital stock (
Dabrowski (2019) suggests that a decline in productivity during the crisis is as a result of specific factors associated with structural and relational capital: a poor business and investment climate, the difficulty of diversifying away from the dominant role of the hydrocarbon sector, and the deterioration of relations policies and economics with the US and the EU that limit opportunities for trade, investment, and innovation. This paper confirms these results, showing the importance of investment in these areas as it increases the stock of intellectual capital and improves the generation of value in companies.
The method distinguishes between investment in intellectual capital and the stock of intellectual capital. Unlike (Jardon and Martinez-Cobas, 2021), this paper directly estimates each of the components of intellectual capital and the intellectual capital stock of intellectual capital. Given the Russian context (
The results show that the indicators established to evaluate intellectual capital can be accepted, justifying models based on inputs or investments as potential indicators of intellectual capital (
This paper presents several findings that have practical implications for two types of agents. On the one hand, for academics, specialists in accounting, and intellectual capital analysts, intangible assets are a potential indicator of the stock of intellectual capital in companies, though as an accounting concept their use is limited (
There are some implications for advisors and managers of companies, especially in emerging countries. Investment in intellectual capital is important, but the key investments relate to human resources and human capital. This suggests that adequate training policies and well-trained human resource management personnel are the essential value generators in the present climate (Kets
Dabrowski (2019) suggests that to increase its growth potential, Russia needs comprehensive economic and institutional reforms that go along the lines of integrating investments in human capital with other investments in intellectual capital to strengthen its stock. International cooperation and R&D investments are necessary.
This paper has some limitations, so its conclusions should be generalized with some caution. For example, there may exist indicators of intellectual capital other than those discussed herein. In particular, the use of intangible assets as a measure of the stock of intellectual capital is constrained by the accounting concept of these assets, which excludes several other elements of intellectual capital. However, while only one indicator is used for each component, if investment rather than stock is being considered it is not necessary to include all of them. Finally, the data are limited to the Russian economy, and therefore the conclusions cannot be completely generalized to apply to other countries.