Corresponding author: Saule Burkitbayeva ( saule.burkitbayeva@kuleuven.be ) © 2020 Non-profit partnership “Voprosy Ekonomiki”.
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), which permits to copy and distribute the article for non-commercial purposes, provided that the article is not altered or modified and the original author and source are credited.
Citation:
Burkitbayeva S, Swinnen J, Warrinnier N (2020) Food and nutrition security in Eurasia: Evolution, shocks and policies. Russian Journal of Economics 6(1): 6-25. https://doi.org/10.32609/j.ruje.6.49749
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Food and nutrition security is at the forefront of policy making around the globe. This study focuses on a number of Eurasian countries, namely the Russian Federation, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan. From under-nutrition to various forms of malnutrition and obesity, these countries face different challenges when it comes to food and nutrition security. Over the last three decades, their situations have been affected by a number of important income shocks, including through falling remittances from relatively wealthier to poorer countries. This paper analyzes these developments and discusses how these countries have introduced policies to address food and nutrition security.
food security, nutrition security, agricultural policy, food policy.
Food and Nutrition Security (FNS) has become an increasingly important policy objective for the international community. This is reflected in its recent inclusion in the Sustainable Development Goals (
a situation that exists when all people, at all times, have physical, social and economic access to sufficient, safe and nutritious food that meets their dietary needs and food preferences for an active and healthy life.
The strong emphasis placed on nutrition in the 2030 Agenda is an important step towards achieving global development priorities and an opportunity for nutrition action in the Eurasian region, where malnutrition remains an important obstacle (
In the late 1990s, at the height of the economic instability that followed the transition from a centrally planned economy to market economy, the food security situation was very problematic across Eurasia (
In this paper we review the FNS situation in six countries in Eurasia: the Russian Federation, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan. These Eurasian countries can be divided into three broad categories based on the state of food and nutrition security today. The Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan are mainly affected by undernutrition and micronutrient deficiencies. The problem of undernutrition is especially problematic in Tajikistan with over 30% of the population currently undernourished. Armenia and Kazakhstan face the triple burden of malnutrition as a considerable share of children below five remain stunted while obesity affects more than 20% of the adult population, and adults and children in both countries face severe micronutrient deficiencies. The Russian Federation mostly faces problems of over-nutrition with currently more than 23% of the adult population considered obese and more than 57% overweight.
We next discuss a number of important income shocks experienced by this region and later analyze the policy choices governments in these six countries have made to influence food and nutrition security. We identify two key aspects in which policy frameworks differ across countries. First, countries vary in how much emphasis policy makers place on self-sufficiency to achieve food and nutrition security. While policy makers in Armenia, the Kyrgyz Republic and Tajikistan have started recognizing the importance of trade, Kazakhstan, the Russian Federation and Uzbekistan continue to strongly emphasize food self-sufficiency. The second major difference in policy frameworks is the importance policy makers place on nutrition as part of overall food and nutrition security. Armenia and the Kyrgyz Republic have taken important steps towards integrating a “nutrition focus,” while the other countries have not (yet) integrated nutrition as a crucial element in their “food security” strategy. Global awareness and recognition of nutritional challenges is growing. In the last section of our paper, we discuss several examples of successfully implemented nutrition policies and programs in the world.
In general, countries face three types of FNS problems: undernutrition, micronutrient deficiencies and over-nutrition. Table
Country | Poverty ratio at $1.90 a day (2011 PPP, %) | Prevalence of undernourishment (%) | Stunting (% of children < 5 y.o.) | Wasting (% of children < 5 y.o.) | Prevalence of anemia (% of children < 5 y.o.) | Prevalence of anemia in women of reproductive age (%) | ||||||||||
in 2016 | change from 2002 | in 2016 | change from 2002 | latest years available | latest years available | in 2016 | change from 2002 | in 2016 | change from 2002 | |||||||
Russian Federation | 0.0 | –0.7 | <2.5 | –1.9 | 25.7 | –0.3 | 23.3 | 2.2 | ||||||||
Kazakhstan | 0.0 | –6.9 | <2.5 | –3.2 | 8.0 | 4.1 | 29.3 | –8.0 | 30.7 | –2.1 | ||||||
Kyrgyzstan | 1.4 | –32.8 | 6.4 | –9.4 | 12.9 | 2.8 | 38.3 | –0.6 | 36.2 | 3.3 | ||||||
Tajikistan | 4.8 | –28.1 | 30.1 | –13.1 | 26.8 | 9.9 | 31.3 | –6.9 | 30.5 | –6.6 | ||||||
Uzbekistan | 27.1 | –39.5 | 6.3 | –12.6 | 19.6 | 4.5 | 36.6 | –16.2 | 36.2 | –9.1 | ||||||
Armenia | 1.8 | –13.3 | 4.4 | –19.2 | 9.4 | 4.2 | 31.5 | 4.5 | 29.4 | 9.3 |
Country | Prevalence vitamin A deficiency (% of children < 5 y.o.) | Prevalence vitamin A deficiency (% adult) | Prevalence zinc deficiency (% adults) |
Russian Federation | 14.1 | n.a | 11.7 |
Kazakhstan | 27.1 | 27.0 | 9.6 |
Kyrgyzstan | 26.3 | 37.8 | 13.8 |
Tajikistan | 26.8 | 31.1 | 66.8 |
Uzbekistan | 53.1 | 38.4 | 24.4 |
Armenia | n.a | n.a | 49.4 |
All Eurasian countries have achieved significant reductions in poverty over the last decade with the largest poverty reduction rates observed in Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan. Nevertheless, despite this progress, 27.1% of the population in Uzbekistan had to survive on less than $1.90 a day in 2016 (Table
As food becomes more readily available and undernutrition less prevalent, a new challenge is facing the Eurasian countries — micronutrient deficiencies or what has been termed “hidden hunger.” Poor diets can lead to an insufficient intake of nutrients, particularly iron, vitamin A, and zinc (
Anemia is considered a public health problem when the prevalence level in the population exceeds 5%. Anemia — both in children and women of reproductive age — is a public health problem across many Eurasian countries. Prevalence levels of anemia for children below the age of five vary between 25.7% for the Russian Federation and 38.3% for Tajikistan. For women of reproductive age the prevalence level of anemia in the Eurasian countries varies between 23.3% for the Russian Federation and 36.2% for Uzbekistan.
Trend in childhood anaemia prevalence, 1990–2016 (% children below 5 y.o.).
Source: World Bank, World development indicators.
Other micronutrient deficiency indicators are shown in Table
As per capita income grows, so too has over-nutrition, in the form of overweight
GDP per capita vs prevalence of obesity among males (over 18 y.o.).
Note: Obese refers to individuals with a body mass index greater than or equal to 30. Sources: WHO (2014); Gapminder.
Prevalence of obesity among adults in 2016 and 1985, and change from 2005 (%).
Note: Adult includes people of the age of 18 and older. Source: WHO (2018).
Based on the state of food and nutrition security today, the Eurasian countries can be divided into three broad categories (FAO, 2016): (1) those primarily affected by undernutrition and micronutrient deficiencies; (2) those facing the triple burden of malnutrition, characterized by residual undernutrition, persisting micronutrient deficiencies and increasing rates of obesity; and (3) countries primarily affected by over-nutrition. Countries such as Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan belong to the first category as they face a high prevalence of undernutrition and a double-digit prevalence of stunting, but a relatively low obesity prevalence. The problem of undernutrition is especially problematic in Tajikistan with more than 26% of the children below the age of five stunted and 9.9% wasted (see Table
Countries such as Armenia and Kazakhstan face the triple burden of malnutrition, as a considerable share of children below the age of five are stunted (9.4% and 8% respectively), while obesity affects more than 20% of the adult population (see Table
The most obvious reason behind the changes in the FNS indicators is income (economic decline and growth). Food products account for a large portion of household expenditures among low income households in Eurasia. In most Central Asian countries, food accounts for almost 60% of household consumption for the general population and just under 70% for low income households. In Russia, 36% of household income is spent on food, while in Armenia it is 34%. Clearly changes in income will affect food expenditures and thus food security.
As indicated earlier, many Eurasian countries experienced a significant economic decline in the 1990s. Since 2000, there has been a reversal of the economy with significant growth, although the income growth rates differ substantially between the countries (Fig.
GDP per capita, PPP (constant 2011 international dollars).
Source: World Bank, World development indicators.
In the past decade, some economic shocks have affected poor households’ incomes and thereby their food security. In the late 2000s the combination of increasing food prices (starting in 2007 and culminating in the spring of 2008) and the global financial crises (2008–2009) exposed the region to significant adverse economic and social impacts. The economies in Eastern Europe and Central Asia were forecasted to experience the deepest contraction among all emerging and developing economies (
The impact of the global food crisis was much more complex and heterogeneous than initially claimed (
In general, Eurasian exporting countries banned, taxed or restricted food exports, while importing countries reduced import tariffs. All major grain exporters in the region (Kazakhstan, Russia and Ukraine) implemented export restrictions to secure their domestic supply of grain and protect their local consumers from increasing food prices (
Several of the poorer Central Asian and Caucasus countries in the region rely heavily on imports from Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan for staple foods, especially for cereals, one of the main components of the diets of all countries in the region (Fig.
Wheat imports by source country (% of total wheat imports, average 2006–2017).
Source: ITC calculations based on UN COMTRADE statistics.
Wheat | Flour of wheat | Total cereals | |
Armenia | –40 | 507 | –34 |
Kyrgyzstan | –27 | 70 | –7 |
Tajikistan | –9 | 9 | 5 |
The food and nutrition security situation in the Eurasian region took another turn in 2014 when the European Union and other Western countries levied travel bans and asset freezes on Russian individuals believed to be implicated in the crisis in eastern Ukraine. Harsher financial sanctions on Russian financial institutions and energy conglomerates followed soon after in July 2014. The intensification of the imposed sanction regime coincided with the dramatic fall of the international oil price in the summer of 2014 and a collapse of the ruble, plunging the Russian economy into recession. The Russian ruble lost at least 50% of its value against the US dollar in less than 18 months. This depreciation was unprecedented since 2001 and even the decline of the Russian currency during the world economic crisis of 2008–2009 dwarfed compared to the 2014 depreciation (
Total remittance inflow from Russia, 2010–2017 (index 2010 = 100).
Source:
These developments should also be considered together with Russia’s accession into the World Trade Organisation in 2012. The WTO accession implied significantly easier market access conditions for other countries to the Russian market, and thus increased competition for Russian producers of commodities such as meat, dairy, and fruit and vegetables. The counter-sanctions against Western countries, however, also included import bans for several of these products into Russia, protecting their domestic agricultural markets. The Russian Federation thus used the counter-sanction regime also as a trade policy. The self-imposed food embargo did come at a cost to the Russian Federation.
To summarize, in the last three decades Eurasian countries have experienced a number of setbacks to their FNS through income shocks. First was the economic decline in the early years of transition followed by a recovery in the early 2000s. The second major shock came with the increased prices and financial crisis in the late 2000s. To protect their local consumers, Eurasian countries resorted to various policy interventions. Major grain exporters introduced export restrictions and/or bans, while major importers reduced import constraints. Other policy interventions included price controls for primary products. Yet another major hit came with the introduction of sanctions against Russia, which followed with counter-sanctions by Russia against Western economies. It is important to note that these income shocks affect FNS in the Eurasian countries not only directly, but also through falling remittances from relatively wealthier to poorer countries.
Numerous programs, policies, and strategies exist with the explicit or implicit objective of achieving food and nutrition security. Also, at the policy front, there is substantial heterogeneity in the existing policy framework concerning the topic of food and nutrition security. These include macro-economic policies and regulations that affect investments and economic growth. They furthermore include policies that affect the production side and value chains, such as agricultural subsidies, trade regulations, land reforms, etc. Policies that more directly target the consumer side include food safety policies, which regulate what type of foods are permitted to be traded, sold and consumed. They also include health policies. In many countries, nutrition programs that are organized and implemented fall under the authority of ministries of health rather than under the “agricultural and food policy” umbrella.
Other food and nutrition security policies are legal and regulatory initiatives. These approaches differ and have also changed significantly over time. In particular, countries interpret food security in different ways and have emphasized (and implemented) different policies to achieve it. Table
Country | Name of the policy document (year adopted) | Is self-sufficiency part of the food security concept? | Is nutrition part of the food security concept? |
Russian Federation | Food security doctrine (2010) | Yes | No |
Kazakhstan | No stand-alone law on food security. Food security is mentioned in the Law about grain (2001). Since then in various other laws. | Part of agricultural development strategy | No |
Kyrgyzstan | The Law of the Kyrgyz Republic “On food security of the Kyrgyz Republic” (2008) Amendment to the Law to include “healthy nutrition” as part of the food security issues (2017). | No | Yes |
Tajikistan | Law on food security (2010) | Yes | No |
Uzbekistan | No stand-alone law on food security. Food security is mentioned as part of the Concept of national security (1997). | Part of agricultural development strategy | No |
Armenia | Law on ensuring food security (2002) National food security concept (2011) | Part of agricultural development strategy | Yes |
The strongest emphasis on self-sufficiency is in Russia, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan. Their food security laws list several key foodstuffs (such as grains, sugar, vegetable oil, potatoes, meat, milk and table salt) along with their recommended targets for self-sufficiency. For example, Russia’s Food security doctrine (2010) uses the following criteria to assess the state of food security in the country: of the total commodity resources on the domestic market, no less than 95% of grain; 80% of sugar; 80% of vegetable oil; 85% of meat and meat products; 90% of milk and milk products; 80% of fish products; 95% of potatoes; and 85% of table salt should be produced domestically. In Kazakhstan, the threshold for self-sufficiency levels for vital food products is set at 80%.
Policy instruments that are used in these countries to achieve self-sufficiency include: (i) producer support for agricultural inputs; (ii) trade interventions to favor domestic production and protect the country from imports, or discourage exports to protect domestic consumers from soaring prices; (iii) price controls for basic food items; and (iv) market interventions and management of commodity stocks (
The emphasis on self-sufficiency is somewhat less in Tajikistan and Armenia. Tajikistan’s legal food security definition was adopted in 2010 and closely follows the FAO definition. That said, while it includes the FAO’s four pillars of food security, it also includes an 80% self-sufficiency target for key foodstuffs. Similarly, Armenia introduced the National food security concept in 2011. This document also closely follows the FAO definition and emphasizes the multidimensional nature of food security and highlights the importance of addressing all four pillars of food security (
The lowest emphasis on self-sufficiency in food security is in Kyrgyzstan. In Kyrgyzstan’s latest revision of the Law on food security in Kyrgyz Republic (2008), self-sufficiency does not feature as an explicit part of the food security definition, but is only mentioned in the supporting documents as a means of assessing the level of self-sufficiency rather than as a target to be obtained.
In all countries, a variety of nutrition-related policies and programs have been present since independence. Numerous feeding and fortification programs have been implemented in the Eurasian countries by their governments and the donor community.
Table
Name of the policy document (year adopted, or implementation period) | |
Russian Federation | Development of Healthy Lifestyle for 2017–2025 |
Kazakhstan | National program for Development of the Health Sector of Kazakhstan “Densaulik” and Action plan for 2016–2019 |
Kyrgyzstan | Food Security and Nutrition Program and the Action plan for 2015–2017 (currently under revision) |
Tajikistan | Nutrition and Physical Activity Strategy (2014) |
Uzbekistan | Concept and Strategy on Healthy Nutrition for the Population of Uzbekistan 2015–2020 |
Armenia | National Strategy for Ensuring Food Security and Nutrition (2018) |
In summary, there is significant heterogeneity in the policies used to achieve food security, and in particular in the emphasis on the need for food self-sufficiency and the integration of nutrition into the food security policy paradigm. There are “clusters” of countries with Kazakhstan, the Russian Federation, and Uzbekistan strongly emphasizing food self-sufficiency and ignoring nutrition in their food security policy; while the Kyrgyz Republic and Armenia are on the other side of both policy choices. Tajikistan is “in the middle” on both policy dimensions.
Tackling nutrition and obesity-related health problems is high on the policy agenda for governments worldwide. Some successful examples of implemented nutrition policies include school meal programs and specific policies aimed at reducing the consumption of trans fats and salt.
Consumption of trans fats leads to a number of adverse health outcomes such as increased risk of cardiovascular diseases and some forms of cancers (WHO, n.d.). In 2003, Denmark became the first country to introduce a complete ban on the sale of products containing trans-fats. Later, countries such as Austria, Hungary, Iceland, Norway and Switzerland introduced similar policies making Europe one of the leading regions combatting the sales of trans-fat products. According to WHO, the ban in Denmark resulted in: (1) a significant reduction of trans-fat intake to one tenth of the previous levels across all age groups, (2) compliance to new standards across almost all products in one year, (3) improvement in nutritional profile of foods and use of healthier fats, (4) a significant decrease in mortality from cardiovascular deceases, which may be partly due to lower consumption of trans-fats (WHO, n.d.).
Other important examples of successful implementation of nutrition policy are initiatives to reduce salt consumption, one of the leading causes of major cardiovascular diseases and increased blood pressure. Finland (in the 1970s) and England (2003) were among the first to successfully implement salt reduction policies which resulted in a significant drop in salt consumption among the population (WHO, n.d.). These policies focused on product reformulation, consumer awareness, clear labeling, and monitoring.
Alarming rates of childhood obesity and overweight compelled policy makers to launch initiatives aimed at creating healthier school environments by restricting sales of certain foods and drinks, setting nutrient standards for food and implementing fruit schemes (WHO, n.d.). Some specific examples include: the School Nutrition Law implemented in Slovenia that sets standards for food and bans vending machines on school property, prohibition of sugar and artificially sweetened drinks in schools in Latvia, provision of free or subsidized fruits and vegetables in schools across different EU countries. Various forms of nutritional awareness programs are implemented in Argentina, Canada and New Zealand.
Overall, global awareness and recognition of nutritional challenges is growing. According to the latest review by the WHO (2018), the number of countries reporting the presence of coordination mechanisms for their national nutrition policies and plans is increasing. Nevertheless, to establish coherent and effective policies to promote healthier diets and nutrition, countries should strive to (a) develop country specific programs and solutions based on scientific evidence (b) put more effort into impact evaluation and monitoring of programs in order to increase the accountability of these projects and policies, (c) set clear financial commitments, operational steps and accountability, (d) implement country specific nutritional programs in concert with others as well as wider developmental goals (
The Sustainable Development Goals 2030 agenda has brought FNS to the forefront of development challenges. Throughout the Eurasian region, malnutrition remains an important obstacle to development. In this paper we review the evolution of FNS in six Eurasian countries: the Russian Federation, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan. Rising incomes since 2000 have substantially reduced poverty and undernourishment and improved food security. Yet, undernourishment remains a problem in the poorer countries of the Caucasus and Central Asia. Diets are also of low quality in many countries, resulting in micronutrient deficiencies. At the same time, as the Eurasian countries become richer and work more sedentary, they are increasingly experiencing another challenge of malnutrition. Overweight and obesity are on the rise while undernourishment is still present in some societies. This region has experienced a number of important income shocks in the last three decades including the transition period in the early 1990s, economic recovery in the early 2000s, increasing food prices and financial crisis in the late 2000s, and more recent events involving sanctions against Russia in 2014. The Eurasian countries discussed in this paper differ in terms of policies used to influence food and nutrition security. Two key differences are identified in their strategies. First, some countries place more emphasis on self-sufficiency to achieve food and nutrition security, while others recognize the importance of trade. Secondly, countries differ considerably in how much emphasis they place on nutrition as part of their overall “food security” strategies. Kazakhstan, the Russian Federation, and Uzbekistan strongly emphasize food self-sufficiency and do not include nutrition in their food security policies. Kyrgyzstan and Armenia have moved away from food self-sufficiency as a policy goal to instead embrace trade policies and nutrition targets to achieve FNS. Tajikistan is “in the middle” on both policy dimensions.
The prevalence of undernourishment is an indicator that estimates the number of people whose food consumption is insufficient to meet dietary energy needs for an active and healthy life.
The World Health Organization defines prevalence levels of anemia between 20% and 40% to be of moderate severity for the overall health of the population.
Overweight in adults is defined as Body Mass Index ≥ 25.
Obesity in adults is defined as Body Mass Index ≥ 30.
Zohoori et al. (2001) reported that, in 1992, the prevalence of overweight and obesity was already at above 35% and almost 20% among the population older than 30 years in Russia.
Overweight is defined as BMI-for-age > +1 SD in school-age children and adolescents 5–19 years (%).
These authors find that the self-imposed embargo induced a rise in the average price of banned food items of 4.2% over this 2-year period with a maximum increase of 9.1% reported in January 2015. Negative price shocks were found to be heterogeneous and higher for districts that were more reliant on food imports before the embargo. Moreover, given that three quarters of the Russian population lives in urban areas, the impact of rising food prices is likely to be more severe for poor urban households who lack the possibility to switch to their own production (Bezemer and Headey, 2008).
The Law on state regulation of development of agricultural complex and rural territories states that “food independence is considered insecure if the annual production of vital food products in the state is less than 80% of the annual demand of the population for such types of food in accordance with physiological norms of nutrition” (2005, Article 19-3).
On monitoring and indicators of food security in Kyrgyz Republic Decree No. 138 from March 3, 2009.
Nutrition landscape information system of World Health Organization provides information on policies related to nutrition and their implementation periods in each country. http://apps.who.int/nutrition/landscape/report.aspx?iso=KAZ&rid=1620
The food security and nutrition program for 2018–2022 is currently under revision.
Ministry of Health and Social Protection of the Population.
For more specific details refer to FAO (2016).