Variable;Construction;Source "Industrial production index";"Natural log of industrial production index";CEIC "Consumer price index";"Natural log of consumer price index";CEIC "Exchange rate";"Natural log of exchange rate against US dollar, period average";CEIC "Broad money";"Natural log of money supply, M3";CEIC "Foreign exchange reserves";"Natural log of foreign exchange reserves";CEIC "Securities held outright by the Federal Reserve";"Natural log of securities held outright by the Federal Reserve";CEIC "Shadow interest rate";"Wu-Xia shadow rate";"Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta" "US interest rate";"Effective federal fund rate";FRED