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  • Article title
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  • 1. Introduction
  • 2. Literature review
  • 3. Data description
  • 4. The model
  • 5. Simulation
  • 6. Shock analysis
  • 7. Ex-ante forecasts and scenarios
  • 8. Conclusion
  • References
  • Appendix A
  • Appendix B
  • Appendix C
  • Appendix D
  • Appendix E
  • Appendix F
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