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  • 1. Introduction
  • 2. General approach to evaluating the impact of sanctions on capital flows
  • 3. A quantitative evaluation of the sanctions’ effects on capital flows
    • 3.1. Changes in debt liabilities
    • 3.2. Direct investment inflow
    • 3.3. Portfolio investment inflow (participation in capital; debt instruments are accounted for by the refinancing share)
    • 3.4. Changes in the foreign liabilities of the public sector
    • 3.5. Direct investment outflow
    • 3.6. Portfolio investment outflow
    • 3.7. Changes in assets in the form of cash foreign currency
    • 3.8. Other assets
    • 3.9. Overall effect for 2014 and the sanction year
  • 4. Evaluation of the sanctions’ effects in the medium-term
    • 4.1. Scenario assumptions
    • 4.2. Calculations for 2015 through 2017
  • 5. Conclusion
  • Acknowledgements
  • References
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