Real-time output gap estimates and confidence intervals (output gap in percent of potential GDP).
Sources: IMF, World Economic Outlook database; and authors’ calculations.
Part of: Grigoli F, Herman A, Swiston A, Di Bella G (2015) Output gap uncertainty and real-time monetary policy. Russian Journal of Economics 1(4): 329-358. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ruje.2016.02.001